WASHINGTON — Last year, despite sluggish economic growth in China that has made worldwide headlines, funding by CDB and the China Export-Import Bank reached a near-record $29 billion — nearly triple the amount in 2014, and more than loans by the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) combined.
“While Western development banks have been on the retreat, Chinese banks have doubled down,” said Kevin P. Gallagher, co-director of Boston University’s Global Economic Governance Initiative (GEGI).
Gallagher, speaking at a Feb. 11 conference organized by the Washington-based Inter-American Dialogue, said that in 2015, World Bank lending to the region fell 5 percent to $8 billion, while IDB lending dropped by 14 percent to $11.5 billion.
“The U.S. Ex-Im Bank, which the region usually relies on for $2-3 billion a year, was dormant and controversial, and absent from the scene,” said Gallagher, who runs GEGI with his Chinese colleague, Fei Yuan.
At the same time, said Gallagher, “2015 saw the establishment of $35 billion worth of multilateral financing platforms for Latin America, a $20 billion China-Latin America Industrial Investment Fund, $10 billion in special loans by the CBD for Latin American infrastructure, and $5 billion in new finance from the China-Latin America Cooperation Fund.”
According to GEGI’s latest estimates, CDB and Eximbank have loaned upwards of $125 billion in finance to the region since 2005. Last year’s total was topped only by lending in 2010, when the total exceeded $35 billion.
As in previous years, the bulk of Chinese policy bank loans to the region in 2015 went to four countries: Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador and Venezuela. Last year, those four accounted for 95 percent of total regional lending, with 34 percent — or around $10 billion — going to economically troubled Venezuela, which like Ecuador has weaker access to global capital markets.
Yet last year also marked a first: Costa Rica and Barbados received policy bank finance for public projects. Barbados got a small commercial loan from China Eximbank to rehabilitate the historic Sam Lord’s Castle Hotel — which will open in 2018 as a Wyndham Grand Resort — while financing to expand Costa Rica’s Route 32 finally won approval after contentious debate by Costa Rican lawmakers.
Across Latin America, China’s focus is on infrastructure projects — especially those that will benefit China, such as a proposed 3,300-mile, $10 billion railway that carry China-bound commodities from Rio de Janeiro to Peru’s Pacific port of Arequipa.
Myers cited several reasons for Beijing’s sudden interest in the region.
First, the Chinese are developing increasingly stronger ties with Latin American governments. Secondly, CDB and Eximbank received injections of base capital in 2015 — “and this is in stark contrast to the World Bank and the U.S. Ex-Im Bank,” she said.
“In addition, overseas opportunities look a lot more fruitful than opportunities at home,” given China’s domestic stagnation and financial instability, she said. “There are more possibilities abroad as exchange rates go down. A lot of companies and projects are put on the auction block.”
Moreover, China has found itself overexposed, and the Washington-based international financial institutions are retreating, largely because rising U.S. interest rates have triggered considerable capital outflows and Chinese banks aren’t as burdened by credit rating agencies as are their counterparts in the United States.
“Western development banks are not providing much financing,” she said, “so they’re calling everyone they can, and the Chinese are answering the phone.”